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It Was Never Confusing. It Was Designed. And the Confusion Is the Point.

By: Casey Cannady : nomad, cybersecurity veteran & Chapter 7 survivor

July 7, 2026
7 min read
Casey Michael Cannady
Economic PolicyEnergyPersonal Story

TL;DR

A Car Coach Reports video makes a claim I mostly agree with: the “greedy gas station on the corner” story you have been fed is a lie. Stations run on razor-thin margins and make their real money on coffee and lottery tickets. Fair. But the video then hands you a respectable second story: it is the taxes, it is California, it is regulation. That is not the truth. That is the next layer of the same con. While you are doing arithmetic on an 18-cent federal line item and cursing your state capital, the oil majors are posting some of their most profitable years on record and paying front groups to tell you exactly where to point your anger. This is Part 3. Part 1 was Policy. Part 2 was Subscription. This one is about who is holding the valve, and why they need you confused to keep holding it.

They do not need to break the law to take your money. They just need you looking the wrong direction.


I do not have a commute. I have a fuel gauge.

For most people, fuel is a line item, an annoyance between “groceries” and “streaming.” For a full-time nomad, it is closer to a mortgage payment that moves. My home has a diesel tank. The heavy 4x4 expedition rig I have spent two years designing will drink even more of it. So when the number at the pump jumps, it does not quietly ding some “transportation budget.” It changes how far I am allowed to exist this month, and where.

That is why, when a video titled “Gas Companies Are Lying About Price Increases” showed up in my feed, I did not scroll past. I watched the whole thing. Twice.

Watch the full breakdown: Car Coach Reports, “Gas Companies Are Lying About Price Increases”

And here is the frustrating part: it is half right. Which is the most dangerous kind of wrong there is.


The Lie You Are Supposed to Catch

Give the video credit. It knocks down the dumbest version of the story, the one politicians love because it is easy and it is wrong: the gas station is gouging you.

It is not. A retail station clears something like 15 to 35 cents a gallon, and out of that comes rent, power, card fees, and labor. The owner is not getting rich on your fill-up. They are getting rich (if at all) on your coffee, your energy drink, and your scratch-off. Gasoline is a commodity with almost no brand loyalty. The station is the most visible link in the chain, which is exactly why it makes the perfect scapegoat.

So far, so good. You were being lied to. The video says so. Nod along.

Then it does something quieter.

The Lie You Are NOT Supposed to Catch

Having cleared the gas station, the video walks you to the approved answer: taxes, regulation, refinery rules, blends, California.

Now, every one of those is a real cost. I am not going to pretend the 18.4-cent federal tax or a state's fuel program does not exist. They do. But watch what that framing does to you. It takes your fury, marches it right past the people making the most money in this entire chain, and sits it down politely in front of a government line item.

Here is what that framing needs you to not notice:

  • Record profits. During the recent price run-ups, major refiners posted some of their most profitable stretches on record while you were rationing trips. That money did not come from the tax line. It came from you.
  • Rockets and feathers. Economists have a name for it. Pump prices shoot up like a rocket when crude rises, and drift down like a feather when crude falls. That lag is not a tax. It is margin, and it does not flow to your state road fund. It flows upstream.
  • The ad campaign you have already seen. Industry-funded front groups spend millions running slick ads telling you the villain is policy, is Sacramento, is “energy independence” under threat. When someone spends that kind of money to aim your anger at a specific target, the smart move is to ask who benefits from the aiming.

The station was the decoy. “Blame the tax” is the real magic trick.

“Confusing by Design”: She Is Righter Than She Knows

The video's own phrase is that gas pricing is confusing by design.

I could not agree more. I just draw the opposite conclusion about who the design serves.

If the pricing were simple, you could look at a spike and instantly see who took the extra dollar. You cannot. There is crude, and refining, and blends, and distribution, and federal tax, and state tax, and a dozen regional quirks. By the time you have untangled it, you are tired, you are late, and you have accepted that “it is complicated” and moved on.

That exhaustion is not a side effect. It is the product. A confused customer does not organize. A confused customer blames a line item, or a governor, or the station clerk, and pays.

It Is Not Illegal. That Is the Whole Point.

Here is the part where I will get out ahead of the guy in the comments who says “prove collusion.”

I cannot. And better-funded people than me have tried. Investigation after investigation, going back to the big FTC probe after Katrina and Rita, keeps landing on the same finding: no definitive proof of illegal price-fixing.

Good. Because I am not alleging a crime. I am describing architecture.

You do not need a smoke-filled room when the system is built to funnel money upward legally, in the open, on purpose. A consolidated refining market with few players. A pricing chain too tangled to audit at the pump. A tax structure real enough to point at. A commodity nobody can opt out of. Put those together and you do not need to break a single law to extract a fortune from people who have no choice but to pay.

“It is not illegal” is not the defense they think it is. It is the confession. It means the rules were written to allow this. And anything that was written can be rewritten.

This Is Leveragism With a Fuel Cap

If you read Part 2 of this series, you already feel where this is going.

Leveragism is the quiet shift from owning things to renting access to them. You do not own the software, you subscribe. You do not own the movie, you license it until the platform pulls it. And you do not own the road, the refinery, the pipeline, or the valve, you rent access to motion, one gallon at a time, at a price someone upstream sets and you are told is weather.

A “price spike” is not weather. It is a rate change on a subscription you cannot cancel, because there is no “downgrade to free tier” on getting to work, getting to the hospital, or getting your life from one place to the next.

And if you read Part 1, you know the rest of the sentence. The tax stack was written. The deregulated, consolidated refining market was written. None of this fell out of the sky. It was built, decision by decision, by people who could be named and who are, for the most part, still in the room. Done on purpose can be undone on purpose. That is the only reason I bother writing any of this down.

I Refuse to Leave You in the Dark

I am not going to dump a problem on you and walk off. Here is the honest split between what actually moves the needle and what just helps you survive the week.

What we should be demanding (the levee):

  • Real margin transparency. Publish refining and marketing margins the way we publish the tax. If “it is complicated” is the shield, then simplify the disclosure, not the excuse.
  • Fund and empower the watchdogs. The market-monitoring divisions that make the industry nervous are nervous-making for a reason. Give them teeth.
  • Windfall accountability. When profits spike in lockstep with your pain, that is a policy conversation, not a coincidence to shrug at.
  • Call the ads what they are. Front-group “education” campaigns are lobbying in a costume. Treat them like it.

What you can do Monday (the sandbags):

  • Use the price apps. Know the real local number before you pull in. It is not a fix, but stop overpaying out of habit.
  • If you are mobile like me, plan fuel by tax geography. State lines are price lines. A nomad who tanks up in the right state saves real money. A commuter cannot, which is rather the point.
  • Watch the feather. When crude drops and your pump price does not, that gap has a name now. You are not imagining it.
  • Stop repeating the ad. The single cheapest thing you can do is refuse to parrot the talking point you were handed. Confusion needs volunteers. Do not be one.

Be clear-eyed, though: apps and timing are sandbags. They are not the levee. Individual cleverness does not fix a structural extraction. Only organized people do.

Why I Am Telling You This

Because the whole machine runs on you feeling stupid and alone at the pump.

You are not bad with money. You are not the only one whose stomach drops at the total. You are not failing some test of personal thrift that everyone else is quietly passing. You are being metered, by a system engineered to be too confusing to fight and too essential to quit, and then you are being handed a list of approved targets for the anger that causes.

The despair is the point. So refuse the despair and keep the fury, because fury organizes and despair just pays.

You are not a customer who keeps getting unlucky at the pump. You are a captive audience for a toll you were trained to misread.

Watch the video. Then get loud with me.


Sources & Further Reading

  • Car Coach Reports (Lauren Fix): “Gas Companies Are Lying About Price Increases” (video), and companion writeups on why pump pricing is “confusing by design” and the tax/policy cost stack.
  • ABC News: reporting on major refiners posting soaring profits during recent price surges.
  • Stanford Report: explainer on the “rockets and feathers” pricing pattern and the four components of pump price.
  • Office of the Governor of California / LA Times Editorial Board: on the multimillion-dollar oil-industry ad campaigns blaming policy for pump prices.
  • Forbes / FTC: reviews finding no definitive evidence of illegal price gouging or collusion in the retail gasoline market.

Sourcing note: I pulled the pump-pricing mechanics from Car Coach Reports' own reporting on this topic and cross-checked the profit, ad-campaign, and pricing-pattern claims against the outlets above. Verify any hard figure before you quote it as gospel.


Connect with Casey

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Casey writes about economic policy, nomadic life, cybersecurity, and navigating the world as a late-diagnosed AuDHD adult. New posts drop on my professional website.